Vietnam’s Housing Market Enters a Selective Reset
Vietnam’s residential market entered August 2026 in a period of consolidation. Prices remain relatively firm, but transaction activity is slower as buyers become more selective and borrowing costs stay elevated.
During Q2 2026, developers launched approximately 12,000 primary condominiums across the enlarged Ho Chi Minh City market and more than 4,000 units in Hanoi. However, luxury absorption remained below 30% in Ho Chi Minh City, while Hanoi’s take-up rate eased to around 20%.
Inner-city primary prices reached approximately USD 5,400 to USD 9,500 per square metre. Pressure was more visible in the secondary market, where prices declined 5% to 8% in Ho Chi Minh City and by as much as 12% in parts of Hanoi.
Floating mortgage rates of 13% to 16% are encouraging some owners to lower asking prices. However, the market has not experienced widespread distress, while the new land-price framework is helping maintain a floor under development costs and headline prices.
Infrastructure Redirects Property Demand
Vietnam has approximately 234 major infrastructure projects worth VND 3.4 quadrillion underway. These investments are shifting demand from crowded central districts towards better-connected suburban and regional corridors.
In the south, growth is concentrating around the Ho Chi Minh City and Dong Nai corridor, supported by Long Thanh International Airport, new ring roads, expressways and Metro Line 1.
Northern demand is moving towards Hanoi’s gateway districts and neighbouring Hung Yen and Bac Ninh. Da Nang is also showing stronger primary-market activity, supported by limited prime coastal supply.
Outlook
Vietnam’s next property cycle is expected to favour patience and careful asset selection rather than short-term speculation.
With average gross rental yields near 3.85%, investment returns will depend increasingly on infrastructure-led capital appreciation. Legally clear projects with strong connectivity and genuine end-user demand should remain best positioned, particularly for buyers with sufficient holding power and a multi-year investment horizon.
