Vietnam’s Housing Market Enters a Selective Reset Vietnam’s residential market entered August 2026 in a period of consolidation. Prices remain relatively firm, but transaction activity is slower as buyers become more selective and borrowing costs stay elevated. During Q2 2026, developers launched approximately 12,000 primary condominiums across the enlarged Ho Chi Minh City market and more than 4,000 units in Hanoi. However, luxury absorption remained below 30% in Ho Chi Minh City, while Hanoi’s take-up rate eased to around 20%. Inner-city primary prices reached approximately USD 5,400 to USD 9,500 per square metre. Pressure was more visible in the secondary market, where prices declined 5% to 8% in Ho Chi Minh City and by as much as 12% in parts of Hanoi. Floating mortgage rates of 13% to 16% are encouraging some owners to lower asking prices. However, the market has not experienced widespread distress, while the new land-price framework is helping maintain a floor under development costs and headline prices.  Infrastructure Redirects Property Demand Vietnam has approximately 234 major infrastructure projects worth VND 3.4 quadrillion underway. These investments are shifting demand from crowded central districts towards better-connected suburban and regional corridors. In the south, growth is concentrating around the Ho Chi Minh City and Dong Nai corridor, supported by Long Thanh International Airport, new ring roads, expressways and Metro Line 1. Northern demand is moving towards Hanoi’s gateway districts and neighbouring Hung Yen and Bac Ninh. Da Nang is also showing stronger primary-market activity, supported by limited prime coastal supply. Outlook Vietnam’s next property cycle is expected to favour patience and careful asset selection rather than short-term speculation. With average gross rental yields near 3.85%, investment returns will depend increasingly on infrastructure-led capital appreciation. Legally clear projects with strong connectivity and genuine end-user demand should remain best positioned, particularly for buyers with sufficient holding power and a multi-year investment horizon. Download to see insights from other country marketsDownload

Vietnam Residential Market Enters a More Selective Cycle Vietnam’s residential market opened 2026 in a transition phase, with prices still rising but liquidity cooling. This suggests the market is moving away from easy speculative gains toward a more disciplined cycle. Residential prices rose around 12% year-on-year in Q1 2026, while liquidity fell nearly 40%. However, there was no sign of distress selling, pointing to a healthy reset rather than a sharp downturn. Primary condominium prices reached new highs across major cities. In Hanoi, average prices were around USD 3,950 per sqm, up 30% year-on-year. In post-merger Ho Chi Minh City, prices averaged around USD 3,900 per sqm, supported by new supply and limited premium stock. Supply also improved. Ho Chi Minh City recorded around 8,010 new condo launches, up 104% year-on-year. Yet affordability remains the key challenge, with much of the new supply priced above the level affordable to mass-market buyers.  Strong Fundamentals, But Investors Are More Careful Vietnam’s underlying fundamentals remain supportive. The economy grew 8.02% in 2025, while real estate FDI reached USD 389.5 million in Q1 2026, representing around 7.2% of total inflows. However, investor behaviour is changing. Demand is now concentrating on projects with clear legal status, reliable construction progress and long-term value. Satellite locations such as Binh Duong and Ba Ria-Vung Tau are gaining attention as central city prices continue to stretch. Outlook Vietnam’s property market is expected to remain attractive, but more selective. With average gross rental yields at around 3.85%, the market is less of a pure income play and more of a capital appreciation and infrastructure-led growth story. Buyers with strong holding power, careful project selection and a long-term view are likely to be better positioned than short-term speculators. Download to see insights from other country marketsDownload

Vietnam's property market continues to present a mixed but encouraging picture in 2026. While Hanoi's retail property sector is undergoing a period of adjustment, Ho Chi Minh City's residential market remains resilient, supported by limited supply, strong demand, and improving infrastructure connectivity. The contrasting performance between the two cities highlights the importance of market selection as investors navigate Vietnam's evolving real estate landscape. Hanoi's Retail Market Faces Adjustment Hanoi's prime retail corridors continue experiencing pressure as changing consumer behaviour and the growth of e-commerce reshape demand for traditional street-front retail space. Vacancy levels have become more noticeable in several key commercial areas as landlords and tenants adjust to shifting market conditions. The correction has also impacted retail-linked residential assets, with demand softening compared to previous years. Rental rates for townhouses across several submarkets have declined from their recent peaks, reflecting a more cautious operating environment for retailers and property owners. Despite these short-term challenges, Hanoi remains an important commercial centre, and the current adjustment may create opportunities for well-capitalised investors focused on long-term value. Ho Chi Minh City Continues to Lead Residential Growth In contrast, Ho Chi Minh City's residential market remains one of Vietnam's strongest-performing sectors. Limited new supply, improving infrastructure, and sustained buyer demand continue supporting price growth across the city. Average apartment prices in central Ho Chi Minh City reached new highs during the first quarter of 2026, driven largely by high-end and luxury developments. The shortage of mid-market housing options has also contributed to upward pressure on prices. Growth is not limited to the city centre. Formerly independent areas such as Binh Duong and Ba Ria-Vung Tau continue benefiting from expanding infrastructure and stronger regional connectivity, supporting residential demand and investment activity throughout the wider metropolitan area. Infrastructure Continues to Support Long-Term Demand One of the strongest themes across Vietnam's property market remains infrastructure-led growth. Continued investment in transportation networks and urban expansion projects is improving accessibility between major economic centres and surrounding residential markets. As connectivity improves, suburban and emerging growth areas are becoming increasingly attractive to both homebuyers and investors seeking more affordable entry points and long-term appreciation potential. Outlook Vietnam's property market is expected to remain supported by urbanisation, infrastructure investment, and long-term housing demand. While Hanoi's retail sector may continue adjusting to changing consumer trends, Ho Chi Minh City's residential market is likely to remain resilient due to limited supply and strong buyer interest. For investors, opportunities increasingly lie in understanding the differing dynamics between cities and focusing on markets supported by strong economic and infrastructure fundamentals. Download to see insights from other country marketsDownload