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Philippines Economic Growth & Condo Market Outlook 2024

Philippines Economic Growth & Condo Market Outlook 2024

CONSISTENT PH ECONOMIC GROWTHThe Philippines outperformed most Asian economies in 2024, posting a solid 5.8% growth in the first three quarters.Its growth outpaced key regional economies, including Malaysia (5.2%), Indonesia (5.0%), China (4.8%), and Singapore (3.8%). The third-quarter expansion of 5.2% came on the back of robust capital formation and accelerated government spending. The National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) noted the resilience of the economy, especially in the face of weather-related disruptions such as El Niño drought and severe typhoons, highlighting the strength of the country's recovery.It said inflation, which averaged 6.0% in 2023, eased to 3.2% by November 2024, within the government's target range. The moderation in inflation was led by a drop in rice prices, which fell from 22.5% in June to 5.1% in November, following the implementation of Executive Order (EO) 62 that lowered rice import tariffs.Opportunities in Metro Manila Condo OversupplyRecently, Colliers Philippines has shared a report that there is an oversupply of condominiums worth 34-months while this might sound concerning, we see that this could be a temporary correction in the market and a possible shift to “buyer’s market”.The Metro Manila real estate is known for it’s great capital appreciation with an average of 15% annually in which made the prices really high. While this benefited investors who have purchased properties on the earlier stage this also made it difficult for those who want to invest today.As there are more properties available in the market, we can see a transition to a market more favorable to the buyers with potential discounted price for the secondary market. During pandemic, the developers also provided discounts and more flexible payment terms than enable the market to pick up.With the exodus of Philippines Offshore Gaming Operators or POGO which occupied almost 20% of office supplies and around 10% of residential properties, we also see a potential decline in rental rates which offers an opportunity to others.Ready to invest in the Philippines' thriving economy and real estate market? Explore opportunities in Metro Manila condos today!Data extracted in January 2025read more

14 January

Real Estate vs Banking: Why Real Estate Wins in Pakistan

Real Estate vs Banking: Why Real Estate Wins in Pakistan

In Pakistan, investors often face a daunting task when deciding where to allocate their resources. While banking deposits and other investment avenues are available, real estate stands out as a superior option. This article examines the reasons why real estate investment outperforms banking deposits and other investment options in Pakistan.Higher Returns on InvestmentReal estate investments in Pakistan offer significantly higher returns compared to banking deposits. According to data from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, the average annual return on real estate investments in Pakistan ranges between 15% and 20%. In contrast, banking deposits typically offer interest rates ranging from 5% to 8% per annum. Long-Term AppreciationReal estate values in Pakistan have consistently appreciated over the long term, providing investors with a reliable source of wealth creation. A report by the Pakistan Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT)Rental IncomeInvesting in real estate also generates a steady stream of rental income, which can help offset mortgage payments and other expenses. According to data from Zameen.com, a leading real estate portal in Pakistan, rental yields in major cities range from 4% to 6% perannum.Tax BenefitsReal estate investments in Pakistan come with attractive tax benefits, including exemptions on capital gains tax and deductions on mortgage interest payments. The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) allows investors to claim a deduction of up to PKR 2 million (approximately USD 12,000) on mortgage interest payments.Diversification BenefitsReal estate offers diversification benefits, as property prices are not directly correlated with stock market fluctuations or other investment options. A report by the National Bureau of Statistics highlights that the correlation coefficient between real estate prices and stock market returns in Pakistan is approximately 0.2, indicating a low level of correlation. ConclusionIn conclusion, real estate investment is a superior option for investors in Pakistan, offering higher returns, long-term appreciation, rental income, tax benefits, and diversification opportunities. While banking deposits and other investment options are available, real estate stands out as a stable and lucrative investment avenue.Unlock the potential of real estate investment in Pakistan—visit IQI Global for expert insights and opportunities!Data extracted in January 2025Read more

14 January

Vietnam Land Market: Key Trends and 2024 Insights

Vietnam Land Market: Key Trends and 2024 Insights

Ba Ria land – this is a market that benefits greatly from the important infrastructure being deployed such as Bien Hoa-Vung Tau Expressway, Cai Mep Seaport, the greatest potential in this area is that the land will directly serve industrial parks, experts working at ports and airports. In the past 2 years, undeveloped land prices in this area have decreased by 28%, with an average price of 11-13 million VND/m2, however, prices have also recovered strongly from the bottom of about 20%.In the past 2 years, land prices in this area have decreased by about 8% compared to 2023 but are relatively stable in 2024, with an average price of 16 million to 18 million VND/m2.Game changer: Eco Retreat project, Vinhomes Duc Hoa project will be implemented in 2025 and will certainly have a new price much higher than the general level. Dong Nai land - a bustling coordinate with many large government projects being implemented such as Long Thanh Airport, Ben Luc Long Thanh Expressway, Ring Road 3, Bien Hoa Vung Tau Expressway. Potential revolves around housing needs for experts, workers working in industrial parks and Long Thanh International Airport.Ba Ria land – this is a market that benefits greatly from the important infrastructure being deployed such as Bien Hoa-Vung Tau Expressway, Cai Mep Seaport, the greatest potential in this area is that the land will directly serve industrial parks, experts working at ports and airports.In the past 2 years, undeveloped land prices in this area have decreased by 28%, with an average price of 11-13 million VND/m2, however, prices have also recovered strongly from the bottom of about 20%. In 2 years, land prices in this area have decreased by 14%, the average price up to this point fluctuates at 17-20 million/m2, prices have started to stop decreasing since September 2024.Game Changer: The Long Thanh Airport project is expected to complete in phase 1 in 2026, which can have a big impact not only on undeveloped land but also have a profound impact on many other segments and fieldsBinh Phuoc land: Compared to the suburban land markets, this is a market with a sharp decline in prices with a reduction rate of nearly 40% -50% and is currently still trading around 10 million/m2.Binh Duong land: This is a rare market that has maintained a price increase from 2019 to 2024, with increasingly complete regional infrastructure (My Phuoc Tan Van, expansion of National Highway 13), economic growth, industry and especially strong FDI absorption attracting the top 2 immigrants in the country. The average transaction price on the market fluctuates between 25-30 million/m2.With the increasing selling prices of central HCM projects, the trend of moving to suburban markets is inevitable, and with the land market almost frozen in the past 2 years, this could be the beginning of a recovery phase for a new cycle with a series of important infrastructures coming into operation in 2026.Discover the latest land market trends in Vietnam—read the full article and uncover investment opportunities for 2024Data extracted in January 2025Read more

14 January

GTA Home Sales Up 40% in November 2024

GTA Home Sales Up 40% in November 2024

In November 2024, Canada’s real estate market demonstrated strong growth, driven by lower borrowing costs and robust population increases. National home sales rose 7.7% month-over-month in October, with a 30% increase compared to the previous year. Theaverage home price reached $696,166, marking a 4% monthly and 6% annual rise, although the MLS Benchmark price showed slight declines.Regionally, the Greater Toronto Area experienced consistent sales growth and a 0.8% monthly price increase to $1.09 million. Alberta set new price records, with Calgary and Edmonton showing significant annual growth of 13.8% and 11%, respectively. Interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada fueled buyer activity, while population growth of 3% year-over year continued to drive demand. The outlook remains positive, although potential supply shortages may place further pressure on prices.TorontoVancouver Quebec In November 2024, GTA REALTORS® reported 5,875 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System, marking a 40.1% increase from the 4,194 sales recorded in November 2023. New listings entered into the MLS® System totaled 11,592, reflecting a 6.6% year-over-year increase. Seasonally adjusted figures showed that November sales increased compared to October.The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Composite Benchmark declined by 1.2% year-over-year in November 2024, representing a smaller annual decrease than in previous months. Meanwhile, the average selling price rose by 2.6% from November 2023, reaching $1,106,050. The stronger growth in the average price, compared to the HPI Composite Benchmark, is attributed to a higher proportion of detached home sales this year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the average selling price experienced a slight decline compared to October.VancouverIn November 2024, Metro Vancouver's real estate market experienced a 28% year-over-year increase in home sales, continuing the strong demand observed in October. A total of 2,181 residential sales were recorded, though this figure remained 12.8% below the 10-year seasonal average. New listings rose 10.6% year-over-year to 3,725, slightly exceeding the seasonal average, while active listings reached 13,245, reflecting a 21.2% annual increase.The sales-to-active listings ratio stood at 17.1%, with detached homes at 12.7%, attached homes at 23.1%, and apartments at 18.7%. This balance kept prices stable; however, continued demand could exert upward pressure if listings fail to keep pace.Benchmark prices were $1,172,100 for all homes (-0.9% YoY, stable MoM), $1,997,400 for detached homes (+1% YoY), $752,800 for apartments (-1.2% YoY), and $1,117,600 for townhouses (+1.8% YoY). Townhouses demonstrated the strongest sales growth, rising 42.7% year-over-year. Explore the latest market insights and discover what’s driving real estate trends in November 2024—read the article now!Data extracted in January 2025Read more

14 January

Weakest Housing Growth Since January 2023: CoreLogic

Weakest Housing Growth Since January 2023: CoreLogic

CoreLogic's National Home Value Index (HVI) inched up by just 0.1% in November, marking the weakest nationwide result since January 2023. Although this represents 22 consecutive months of growth, the current cycle may be nearing its end."The slowdown is becoming evident in Melbourne and Sydney," said Tim Lawless, CoreLogic’s Research Director. "Even the mid-sized capitals, which have driven recent growth, are starting to lose momentum."In Melbourne, housing values have declined in ten of the last twelve months, with a monthly drop of -0.4% in November, bringing the annual decrease to -2.3%. In Sydney, housing values plateaued in September after peaking in August, then fell by -0.2% in both October and November.Quarterly figures reveal that four of the eight capitals are now experiencing declines in values, with Melbourne leading the trend (-1.0%), followed by Darwin (-0.7%), Sydney (-0.5%), and Canberra (-0.3%)."The mid-sized capitals and many regional markets continue to provide some support to the national index, but it’s clear their momentum is also waning," added Mr. Lawless.Perth remains the nation’s frontrunner for capital growth, with values rising 1.1% in November and 3.0% over the past three months. However, this marks its slowest quarterly growth since April 2023 and reflects less than half the rate of the June quarter's 6.7% increase.CoreLogic's latest data shows that the rental market is also experiencing a slowdown. The national rental index edged up by just 0.2% in November, with rents rising 5.3% over the past year—the slowest annual increase since April 2021. A year ago, rental growth stood at 8.1% annually and had exceeded 9% over the prior two years.“At 5.3% annual growth, rents are still climbing at more than double the pre-pandemic decade average of 2.0%, but with such weak monthly increases, the annual trend is likely to decelerate further,” noted Mr. Lawless. “The first quarter of 2025, which is seasonally strong for the rental market, will reveal whether growth rebounds, but it appears increasingly clear that the rental boom is coming to an end.”Perth continues to lead in rental growth among the capitals, with unit rents surging by 9.7% annually, although this is a significant slowdown from the peak of 16.6% recorded in late 2023 and early 2024. Perth also leads in house rental growth, with an 8.7% increase over the past year.Despite Perth's leading position in both property value and rental growth, the broader market slowdown is evident, with weaker growth across other capitals and regions. This suggests the national property market, including both sales and rentals, is transitioning into a new phase of subdued momentum.Stay ahead of market trends—explore CoreLogic's full report for the latest insights on housing and rental growth.Data extracted in January 2025Read more

14 January

Global Economic Outlook 2025: New Rules of Engagement in Trade and Commerce

Global Economic Outlook 2025: New Rules of Engagement in Trade and Commerce

This article is contributed by Shan Saeed, Chief Economist at Juwai IQIThe global economy is witnessing a significant shift. President Trump secured victory in the November 5 election, paving the way for complete control of both houses of Congress. His presidency has already made a notable impact on equity and currency markets. A "Trump premium" in the dollar is expected to result in a 3% appreciation in the dollar index. As of November 14, 11:00 AM KL time, the dollar index is trading at 106.6. Investors generally expect the swift implementation of trade tariffs and tax cuts. However, these measures are likely to exert inflationary pressure on the U.S. economy, complicating the Federal Reserve's ability to cut rates rapidly and transition to an accommodative monetary policy as desired by the market. The 10-year Treasury yields are signaling to the market that inflation is poised to make a strong comeback.TOP 100 BANKS BY MARKET CAPITALIZATION The "Global Systemically Important Banks" (G-SIBs) have outperformed both the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 in 2024. Year-to-date (YTD) performance of leading ETFs:QQQ: +21%SPY: +21.8%GSIB: +25.6%Despite concerns about an economic slowdown, these banks have excelled due to:Rising interest rates, which have boosted loanprofitability.Improved credit quality and low loan default rates.Strong demand for investment banking services.Big banks are effectively capitalizing on the benefits of higher interest rates, solidifying their strong performance in 2024.For more info and upadates! Download now!

11 December, 2024

Malaysia's Three-Storey Shops Market: A 2020-2024 Overview

Malaysia's Three-Storey Shops Market: A 2020-2024 Overview

This article is contributed by Irhamy Ahmad MRICS, Founder & Managing Director of Irhamy Valuers InternationalIn Malaysia, three-story shops are a prominent part of the commercial real estate landscape, serving as flexible business solutions in both urban and suburban areas. These buildings typically offer three levels, each adaptable for various types of tenants and purposes. A comparison of three-storey shop transactions between 2020 and 2024 reveals notable trends and price changes in Malaysia's real estate market.These properties have undergone significant shifts from 2020 to 2024, shaped by the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, changing consumer behavior, and new commercial trends. Central to Malaysia’s retail and business landscape, three-storey shops have seen transformations in transaction volume, pricing, tenant mix, usage, and investment appeal.The pandemic had a profound impact on pricing in 2020, particularly in urban centers where businesses werestruggling to survive amid lower foot traffic and lockdown restrictions. Property prices in secondary locations also dropped, as investors were hesitant to commit amid economic uncertainties. However, by 2024, property prices have generally stabilized with slight increases as businesses returned to full operation and foot traffic resumed, especially in high-demand areas. Suburban areas near newly developed residential projects also saw increased demand for neighborhood commercial spaces.The following transactions represent preferred addresses for many buyers, synonymous with the middle andupper-middle class, indicating a high level of business activity. They present a general picture of prices during and post-pandemic. The tables also show transaction data, offering a self-explanatory view of these trends.In conclusion, the evolution of the three-storey shop market from 2020 to 2024 reflects its adaptability. The recovery from pandemic lows has brought a demand for flexible, tech-integrated, and sustainable spaces, making these properties in Malaysia valuable for both tenants and investors. The rebound signals growth potential, with an increased focus on suburban areas and community-centric businesses shaping the future of commercial real estate in Malaysia. For more info and update! Download now!

11 December, 2024

Strategies To Manage Inflation Risk in International Real Estate Investments

Strategies To Manage Inflation Risk in International Real Estate Investments

Inflation erodes purchasing power, posing challenges for investors. However, real estate is widely recognized as an effective inflation hedge, as property values and rental income often rise in tandem with inflation. With that;Here Are 5 Strategies to Help International Real Estate Investors Manage Inflation Risk.1. Invest Markets with Stable or Controlled Inflation.Some countries maintain moderate inflation levels due to strong economic policies and stable property markets. For example, Malaysia, the United Arab Emirates, and Portugal often experience less volatile inflation, offering investors more predictable returns. This stability reduces exposure to sudden inflationary spikes that could erode property values, making these markets attractive for risk-conscious investors.2. Focus on Real Estate Sectors Less Vulnerable to InflationDifferent property sectors respond to inflation differently. Residential rental properties tend to perform well during inflationary periods, as rental rates can be periodically adjusted to match rising costs. In contrast, commercial properties with long-term leases may lack such flexibility. High-demand sectors like warehouses, logistics facilities, and mixed-use developments in growth regions such as Southeast Asia and Latin America often withstand inflation effectively. These sectors benefit from strong e-commerce and manufacturing demand, supporting long-term property value appreciation.3. Consider Inflation-Linked Rental AgreementsInflation-linked leases and rental agreements are becoming more common in international markets. These agreements adjust rental rates automatically based on an inflation index, protecting investor income from erosion. Countries like Thailand and Turkey frequently offer such arrangements, making them appealing for safeguarding rental income. Additionally, investing in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) focused on inflation-resistant sectors provides exposure to inflation-protected assets without requiring full property ownership, offering a diversified approach to inflation management.4. Invest in High-Demand, Low-Supply MarketsProperty markets with constrained supply and high demand often outperform inflation, as property values in these areas typically appreciate faster than inflation rates. Major urban centers in Australia and developing cities across the Middle East exemplify such markets. Investing in these regions helps ensure property values rise even as inflation increases, providing a built-in safeguard against inflationary pressures. Understanding demand-supply dynamics within specific cities or regions allows investors to capitalize on markets where property prices are likely to grow with or outpace inflation.5. Balance Local and International InvestmentsVersifying investments across local and international properties can further mitigate inflation risk. For example, properties in controlled-inflation markets like New Zealand and Turkey can offset risks from assets in higher-inflation economies. This international diversification reduces reliance on a single economy, enhancing resilience against localized economic challenges and inflation-related issues. A balanced portfolio, incorporating properties in both stable and growth-oriented markets, helps protect purchasing power while ensuring overall portfolio stability.Inflation is an unavoidable economic force, but investors don’t have to succumb to its effects. By selecting markets strategically, focusing on inflation-resistant property types, using inflation-linked agreements, and diversifying internationally, investors can manage inflation risk effectively. As the global economy fluctuates, these strategies can help international real estate investors build portfolios that remain stable, resilient, and profitable despite inflationary pressures.To Continue Reading, Click Here to Download!DownloadTo get the latest news and insights on real estate, click the image below and join our Whatsapp channel!

10 December, 2024

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