{"id":28830,"date":"2021-03-23T10:16:21","date_gmt":"2021-03-23T02:16:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.iqiglobal.com\/blog\/?p=28830"},"modified":"2025-07-16T15:09:09","modified_gmt":"2025-07-16T07:09:09","slug":"shan-sheed-oriental-daily-malaysia-economic-2021","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iqiglobal.com\/blog\/cn\/shan-sheed-oriental-daily-malaysia-economic-2021\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5c71\u8428\u4f0a\u5fb7 : \u9884\u8ba1\u5927\u9a6c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ca\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u5c06\u6062\u590d\u7a33\u56fa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

居外IQI环球首席经济学家山萨伊德（Shan Saeed）接受《东方财经》的访问时指出，随著政府放宽行动管制令（MCO）， 大马本地消费已经逐渐上升。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

政府一般上会采取双重循环策略（dual circulation strategy）以支撑宏观经济，即支撑本地企业，并推动需求以刺激 经济 成长。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

因此，他认为，随著我国迈入次季，经济料将会强劲复苏。同时，居外IQI也预计，大马今年的国内生产总值（GDP）将成长3%至4%，而内需及投资将是推进成长的关键要素。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MIDF投行发布报告称，1月的IPI指数表现优于该行预期，显示政府在当月实行的行管令2.0，对工业活动的冲击比想像中来得轻微。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

另一方面，在1月IPI报捷之际，我国2月制造业采购经理人指数（PMI）却下跌至47.7点，令人担忧工业活动会否后劲不足。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

对此，山萨伊德指出，有多种因素可导致PMI指数升跌，例如农历新年、美国冬天、欧洲寒冷的天气，以及新冠肺炎对企业的打击等，而且这项指数有周期性，不一定意味接下来的工业活动将会放缓。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

专家看好GDP Q3企稳<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

山萨伊德表示：“全球经济复苏料将继续保持疲弱及缓慢，但是亚洲、东盟及中国市场可看见经济有逐渐恢复的迹象。大马的PMI指数预计将在未来数个月重返50点荣枯线以上水平。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

这预示著大马经济及制造业活动将会稳固恢复，预计在第3季企稳。”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MIDF投行亦持相同观点。该行预测，今年全年IPI将反弹6.3%，只是在2月的时候，因外围的一些特殊因素如严寒气候而出现少许放缓。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

山萨伊德预期，首季GDP成长率将会低于预期。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

但是，随著行管令的放宽、许多领域重启开业、政府撤销跨县和局部撤销跨州禁令，以及疫苗开始接种，料将可加速经济复苏。一旦出现更强劲的经济动力，GDP料将在第3季企稳。 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

阅读全文-
《东方日报》<\/a><\/mark><\/strong><\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

想知道更多？<\/span>
IQI中文部落格，一键轻松得知房地产大小事！<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
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点此浏览<\/mark><\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

居外IQI环球首席经济学家山萨伊德（Shan Saeed）接受《东方财经》的访问时指出，随著政府放宽行动管制令（MCO）， 大马本地消费已经逐渐上升。 政府一般上会采取双重循环策略（dual circulation strategy）以支撑宏观经济，即支撑本地企业，并推动需求以刺激 经济 成长。 因此，他认为，随著我国迈入次季，经济料将会强劲复苏。同时，居外IQI也预计，大马今年的国内生产总值（GDP）将成长3%至4%，而内需及投资将是推进成长的关键要素。 MIDF投行发布报告称，1月的IPI指数表现优于该行预期，显示政府在当月实行的行管令2.0，对工业活动的冲击比想像中来得轻微。 另一方面，在1月IPI报捷之际，我国2月制造业采购经理人指数（PMI）却下跌至47.7点，令人担忧工业活动会否后劲不足。 对此，山萨伊德指出，有多种因素可导致PMI指数升跌，例如农历新年、美国冬天、欧洲寒冷的天气，以及新冠肺炎对企业的打击等，而且这项指数有周期性，不一定意味接下来的工业活动将会放缓。 专家看好GDP Q3企稳 山萨伊德表示：“全球经济复苏料将继续保持疲弱及缓慢，但是亚洲、东盟及中国市场可看见经济有逐渐恢复的迹象。大马的PMI指数预计将在未来数个月重返50点荣枯线以上水平。 这预示著大马经济及制造业活动将会稳固恢复，预计在第3季企稳。” MIDF投行亦持相同观点。该行预测，今年全年IPI将反弹6.3%，只是在2月的时候，因外围的一些特殊因素如严寒气候而出现少许放缓。 山萨伊德预期，首季GDP成长率将会低于预期。 但是，随著行管令的放宽、许多领域重启开业、政府撤销跨县和局部撤销跨州禁令，以及疫苗开始接种，料将可加速经济复苏。一旦出现更强劲的经济动力，GDP料将在第3季企稳。  阅读全文-《东方日报》 想知道更多？IQI中文部落格，一键轻松得知房地产大小事！<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":28832,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","postBodyCss":"","postBodyMargin":[],"postBodyPadding":[],"postBodyBackground":{"backgroundType":"classic","gradient":""},"footnotes":""},"categories":[261],"tags":[10814,257,9604,5162],"class_list":["post-28830","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-261","tag-iqi-news-cn","tag-press-cn","tag-juwai-iqi-cn","tag--cn"],"yoast_head":"\n\u5c71\u8428\u4f0a\u5fb7 : \u9884\u8ba1 \u5927\u9a6c \u7ecf\u6d4e \u53ca\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u5c06\u6062\u590d\u7a33\u56fa<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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