{"id":16874,"date":"2020-04-21T18:20:41","date_gmt":"2020-04-21T10:20:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.iqiglobal.com\/blog\/?p=16874"},"modified":"2023-05-17T08:52:44","modified_gmt":"2023-05-17T07:52:44","slug":"negative-oil-prices-shan-saeed-comment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iqiglobal.com\/blog\/cn\/negative-oil-prices-shan-saeed-comment\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8d1f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u4e00\u523b . \u5c1a\u8428\u4f0a\u5fb7 \uff1a\u5c06\u6709\u66f4\u591a \u5f71\u54cd"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

2020年4月21日凌晨，不少人守着新闻媒体，第一时间得知了“5月美国原油期货合约价格跌至每桶-37.63美元。” 或简称 “负油价”的消息。但这到底有什么关系、将带来什么 影响 ？<\/p>\n

IQI Global首席经济学家尚萨伊德带来的些许分析，有组我们厘清到底市场发生何事。<\/p>\n

在小编要求下，尚萨伊德简单地说明了“负油价”。<\/p>\n

“简单一点理解的话，就是现在卖家要卖出一桶油，要给买家30美元1<\/sup>——这部分也是因为石油交易方式导致。”<\/h5>\n

“要求买家在5月拥有石油的合同，将于4月21日到期。加上基于储存空间几近饱和<\/a>，导致这批石油无人问津。”<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

尚萨伊德坦言，自己认为美国页岩天然气公司将蒙受介于5000亿至1万亿的破产之苦，这些公司破产预计导致现金流紧缩。届时银行也会被波及，即意味着他们需要核销这些岩天然气公司的贷款。<\/p>\n

“多米诺效应下，这些公司破产、造成裁员，债券市场、能源市场资本支出（CAPEX）低落，进一步对金融市场造成压力。”<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

然而，COVID-19是肇因吗？<\/h5>\n

尚萨伊德认为，目前能源市场充满波动性和不确定性。<\/p>\n

“由于负油价缘故，美国的能源公司目前正经历着波折，这意味着当地破产法官，可能会相当忙碌。页岩天然气公司正面对浩劫。”<\/p>\n

谈及这历史性事件的原因，尚萨伊德直言：“若任何人告诉你，这一切都是因为COVID-19，请展示以下资讯。”<\/p>\n

\"\"
BALTIC DRY INDEX<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
\"\"
FED BALANCE SHEET<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

他说，图表可见，在2019年9月开始的需求开始崩溃，美联储（FED）在当时开始印刷钞票。<\/p>\n

基于这个原因，尚萨伊德认为Coronavirus可能只是恰好出现的替罪羊。<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

最后的建议？<\/h6>\n

富具金融经验的尚萨伊德直言：<\/p>\n

“保持冷静，市场还会带给我们更多的过山车之旅。”<\/h5>\n

 <\/p>\n

备注：<\/p>\n

1.WTI期货原油价格暴跌300%，从每桶17.85美元跌至-37.63美元<\/a>。<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n

想知道更多房地产市场资讯<\/strong>？点击相关文章：<\/p>\n

马来西亚隔夜利率(OPR)降至2.50% . 创2011年以来新低<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

大马去年经济成长创10年新低 . 尚萨伊德持乐观态度<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

COVID-19：危机时期买房，是正确的决定吗？<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2020年4月21日凌晨，不少人守着新闻媒体，第一时间得知了“5月美国原油期货合约价格跌至每桶-37.63美元。” 或简称 “负油价”的消息。但这到底有什么关系、将带来什么 影响 ？ IQI Global首席经济学家尚萨伊德带来的些许分析，有组我们厘清到底市场发生何事。 在小编要求下，尚萨伊德简单地说明了“负油价”。 “简单一点理解的话，就是现在卖家要卖出一桶油，要给买家30美元1——这部分也是因为石油交易方式导致。” “要求买家在5月拥有石油的合同，将于4月21日到期。加上基于储存空间几近饱和，导致这批石油无人问津。” 尚萨伊德坦言，自己认为美国页岩天然气公司将蒙受介于5000亿至1万亿的破产之苦，这些公司破产预计导致现金流紧缩。届时银行也会被波及，即意味着他们需要核销这些岩天然气公司的贷款。 “多米诺效应下，这些公司破产、造成裁员，债券市场、能源市场资本支出（CAPEX）低落，进一步对金融市场造成压力。”   然而，COVID-19是肇因吗？ 尚萨伊德认为，目前能源市场充满波动性和不确定性。 “由于负油价缘故，美国的能源公司目前正经历着波折，这意味着当地破产法官，可能会相当忙碌。页岩天然气公司正面对浩劫。” 谈及这历史性事件的原因，尚萨伊德直言：“若任何人告诉你，这一切都是因为COVID-19，请展示以下资讯。” 他说，图表可见，在2019年9月开始的需求开始崩溃，美联储（FED）在当时开始印刷钞票。 基于这个原因，尚萨伊德认为Coronavirus可能只是恰好出现的替罪羊。   最后的建议？ 富具金融经验的尚萨伊德直言： “保持冷静，市场还会带给我们更多的过山车之旅。”   备注： 1.WTI期货原油价格暴跌300%，从每桶17.85美元跌至-37.63美元。     想知道更多房地产市场资讯？点击相关文章： 马来西亚隔夜利率(OPR)降至2.50% . 创2011年以来新低 大马去年经济成长创10年新低 . 尚萨伊德持乐观态度 COVID-19：危机时期买房，是正确的决定吗？   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