{"id":133141,"date":"2026-09-04T10:43:15","date_gmt":"2026-09-04T02:43:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iqiglobal.com\/blog\/?p=133141"},"modified":"2026-09-04T10:43:16","modified_gmt":"2026-09-04T02:43:16","slug":"hong-kong-property-market-outlook-2026-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iqiglobal.com\/blog\/hong-kong-property-market-outlook-2026-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Hong Kong Property Market 2026: Residential Activity Rebounds as Central Offices Strengthen"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><body><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-residential-market-regains-momentum\">Residential Market Regains Momentum<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Hong Kong&rsquo;s residential market strengthened in June, with&nbsp;<strong>7,650 transactions<\/strong>, up 512 units from May and the highest monthly volume since the removal of property cooling measures in early 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rebound was led by the&nbsp;<strong>secondary market<\/strong>, where transactions rose to&nbsp;<strong>5,657 units<\/strong>, while primary sales declined to&nbsp;<strong>1,993 units<\/strong>. Mass residential capital values also increased&nbsp;<strong>0.9% month-on-month<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Luxury demand remained active. A unit at Mont Verra in Kowloon Tong sold for&nbsp;<strong>HKD 210 million<\/strong>, equivalent to&nbsp;<strong>HKD 48,398 per sq ft<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the interest-rate outlook has become a key risk. Expectations of higher US rates have increased, which could moderate Hong Kong residential market growth in the near term.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-central-leads-the-office-recovery\">Central Leads the Office Recovery<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Hong Kong&rsquo;s office market also improved, recording&nbsp;<strong>279,000 sq ft of positive net absorption<\/strong>&nbsp;in June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The overall vacancy rate declined to&nbsp;<strong>13.1%<\/strong>, while office rents edged up&nbsp;<strong>0.1% month-on-month<\/strong>. Central remained the strongest submarket, with rents rising&nbsp;<strong>0.6%<\/strong>, while Tsim Sha Tsui increased&nbsp;<strong>0.5%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Supported by IPO activity, wealth inflows from mainland China and expectations surrounding carried-interest tax incentives,&nbsp;<strong>Central Grade A office rents are forecast to rise 10% to 15% in 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Performance is expected to remain uneven, with other core districts showing modest growth while Hong Kong East and Kowloon East face continued rental pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-outlook\">Outlook<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Hong Kong&rsquo;s property market is showing&nbsp;<strong>clear signs of recovery, but momentum remains selective<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Residential activity is improving, although higher borrowing costs may limit further acceleration. In the office sector,&nbsp;<strong>Central Grade A space appears best positioned<\/strong>, supported by improving demand, tighter vacancy and stronger financial-sector activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The market is likely to favour&nbsp;<strong>prime locations and high-quality assets<\/strong>&nbsp;over broader market exposure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>The contents of this article were contributed by&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>Nelson Li<\/em><\/strong><em>, Head of IQI Hong Kong.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-file\"><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-55d0edc2-fb35-41be-85c7-2c2756aa57b7\" href=\"https:\/\/iqiglobal-web-revamp.s3.ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com\/wp\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/04104044\/Juwai-IQI-Newsletter-September-2026-8.pdf\">Download to see insights from other country markets<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/iqiglobal-web-revamp.s3.ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com\/wp\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/04104044\/Juwai-IQI-Newsletter-September-2026-8.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-55d0edc2-fb35-41be-85c7-2c2756aa57b7\">Download<\/a><\/div>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Residential Market Regains Momentum Hong Kong&rsquo;s residential market strengthened in June, with&nbsp;7,650 transactions, up 512 units from May and the highest monthly volume since the removal of property cooling measures in early 2024. The rebound was led by the&nbsp;secondary market, where transactions rose to&nbsp;5,657 units, while primary sales declined to&nbsp;1,993 units. Mass residential capital values&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":108,"featured_media":133143,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","postBodyCss":"","postBodyMargin":[],"postBodyPadding":[],"postBodyBackground":{"backgroundType":"classic","gradient":""},"footnotes":""},"categories":[11302,9207],"tags":[1519,265,231,476,10268,305,224],"class_list":["post-133141","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-hong-kong","category-newsletter","tag-hong-kong","tag-investment","tag-iqi-en","tag-juwai-iqi","tag-newsletter","tag-property","tag-real-estate"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.1 (Yoast SEO v28.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Hong Kong Property Market 2026: Residential Activity Rebounds as Central Offices Strengthen - IQI Blog<\/title>\n<meta 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