{"id":103121,"date":"2024-12-30T10:38:01","date_gmt":"2024-12-30T02:38:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iqiglobal.com\/blog\/?p=103121"},"modified":"2024-12-30T10:38:03","modified_gmt":"2024-12-30T02:38:03","slug":"usa-overhang-houses-increasing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iqiglobal.com\/blog\/cn\/usa-overhang-houses-increasing\/","title":{"rendered":"\u65b0\u623f\u5e93\u5b58\u521b2007\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u201c\u51b0\u5c01\u201d\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u697c\u5e02\u4f55\u65f6\u8fce\u6765\u6625\u5929\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

美国商务部在12月23日公布的数据显示，在经历了10月环比大跌后，美国11月新屋销售环比上涨，但涨幅不及预期。11月待售新建住宅的供应量增至2007年底以来的最高水平，售价中值同比下降6.3%，至40.26万美元。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

对此，居外IQI联合创始人兼首席执行官卡希夫·安萨里（Kashif Ansari）<\/mark><\/strong>分析称，人们现在很关心2025年美国楼市能否恢复正常。高得难以承受的按揭利率能下降一些吗？冰封的楼市交易能回暖一些吗？市场上的房源能多起来吗？房价能别涨得那么快吗？所有这些问题也是房贷利率能否降低的问题，而房贷利率的变动间接地受货币政策、财政政策、美国经济以及国际局势等多重因素的综合影响。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

此外，按揭贷款银行家协会（MBA）预计，至少在未来两年内，按揭贷款利率仍将保持在6%以上。<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"美国楼市新房\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

卡希夫·安萨里分析称，目前大部分美国业主的现有按揭利率低于4%，要想让他们把房子挂牌，按揭利率至少要降到5%。大批在过去几年买不了房的买家认为，只有按揭利率降到5%他们才能着手买房，但主要机构以及多位经济学家预测，明年按揭利率仍会保持在6%以上。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

对于习惯了现金购房的外国买家来说，他认为碰到合适的机会无需等待，而对于需要贷款的买家，如果他们能接受6%左右的高利率新常态，希望早些改善生活，可以多存点钱作为首付，或向家人借款，这样可以少贷一些款，少点压力。  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

至于特朗普2.0即将拉开大幕，这对美国楼市影响几何？他分析称，特朗普的政策对楼市的影响尚不明确。一方面，关税、减税和移民政策会增加赤字，推高通胀，楼市或将恶化；另一方面，特朗普称要增加新建住宅，削减建造住宅的规管，增加美国石油产量，这些举措也可能抵消负面政策的影响。在不确定性笼罩之际，可以紧盯房贷利率变动，备足资金，伺机而动。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

在他看来，对于一些在疫情后低位完美“上车”的业主来说，美国楼市则是另一个财富故事。疫情期间美国房价已上升了约50%，今年美国房价上涨约4%，明年按NAR的预测也会有2%的增幅。长期来看，美国房产需求旺盛，供应限制较多，预计房价会保持坚挺。<\/p>\n\n\n\n

阅读全文-<\/a><\/strong>
《21经济网》<\/a>、《百度》<\/a>、《佛山市南海区房地产业协会》<\/a>、《新浪财经》<\/a>、《东方财富网》<\/a>、《证券时报网》<\/a>、《证券之星》<\/a><\/strong><\/mark><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

想知道更多？
IQI中文部落格，一键轻松得知房地产大小事！<\/mark><\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
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点此浏览<\/mark><\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

美国商务部在12月23日公布的数据显示，在经历了10月环比大跌后，美国11月新屋销售环比上涨，但涨幅不及预期。11月待售新建住宅的供应量增至2007年底以来的最高水平，售价中值同比下降6.3%，至40.26万美元。 对此，居外IQI联合创始人兼首席执行官卡希夫·安萨里（Kashif Ansari）分析称，人们现在很关心2025年美国楼市能否恢复正常。高得难以承受的按揭利率能下降一些吗？冰封的楼市交易能回暖一些吗？市场上的房源能多起来吗？房价能别涨得那么快吗？所有这些问题也是房贷利率能否降低的问题，而房贷利率的变动间接地受货币政策、财政政策、美国经济以及国际局势等多重因素的综合影响。 此外，按揭贷款银行家协会（MBA）预计，至少在未来两年内，按揭贷款利率仍将保持在6%以上。 卡希夫·安萨里分析称，目前大部分美国业主的现有按揭利率低于4%，要想让他们把房子挂牌，按揭利率至少要降到5%。大批在过去几年买不了房的买家认为，只有按揭利率降到5%他们才能着手买房，但主要机构以及多位经济学家预测，明年按揭利率仍会保持在6%以上。 对于习惯了现金购房的外国买家来说，他认为碰到合适的机会无需等待，而对于需要贷款的买家，如果他们能接受6%左右的高利率新常态，希望早些改善生活，可以多存点钱作为首付，或向家人借款，这样可以少贷一些款，少点压力。   至于特朗普2.0即将拉开大幕，这对美国楼市影响几何？他分析称，特朗普的政策对楼市的影响尚不明确。一方面，关税、减税和移民政策会增加赤字，推高通胀，楼市或将恶化；另一方面，特朗普称要增加新建住宅，削减建造住宅的规管，增加美国石油产量，这些举措也可能抵消负面政策的影响。在不确定性笼罩之际，可以紧盯房贷利率变动，备足资金，伺机而动。 在他看来，对于一些在疫情后低位完美“上车”的业主来说，美国楼市则是另一个财富故事。疫情期间美国房价已上升了约50%，今年美国房价上涨约4%，明年按NAR的预测也会有2%的增幅。长期来看，美国房产需求旺盛，供应限制较多，预计房价会保持坚挺。 阅读全文-《21经济网》、《百度》、《佛山市南海区房地产业协会》、《新浪财经》、《东方财富网》、《证券时报网》、《证券之星》 想知道更多？IQI中文部落格，一键轻松得知房地产大小事！<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":103124,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","postBodyCss":"","postBodyMargin":[],"postBodyPadding":[],"postBodyBackground":{"backgroundType":"classic","gradient":""},"footnotes":""},"categories":[261],"tags":[6966,10814,5220,257,9604,5150,5274,5276],"class_list":["post-103121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-261","tag-iqi-cn","tag-iqi-news-cn","tag-kashif-ansari-zh","tag-press-cn","tag-juwai-iqi-cn","tag--cn","tag--zh","tag-5276"],"yoast_head":"\n\u65b0\u623f\u5e93\u5b58\u521b2007\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u201c\u51b0\u5c01\u201d\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u697c\u5e02\u4f55\u65f6\u8fce\u6765\u6625\u5929\uff1f<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u7f8e\u56fd 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